Constructed by years of fiscal white lies and monetary insanity, the body bags have yet to be filled. Municipal governments in China still depend on increasing real estate values, while European banks holding large debts of failing Southeastern states still stand. The United States Economy has “recovered faster than anyone could have imagined” and the S&P 500 at one time had nearly doubled from it’s lows. But still the whispers; 10 year U.S. Treasuries nearing 3% yields, LIBOR trending higher, market technicals showing a shift towards negative confidence, and this weeks economic data hanging in the balance…

In the week ahead the U.S. equity market, broadly represented by the S&P 500 index, will be looking for direction as the level reaches its 200 day moving average (MA), which had served as firm support before dropping below that level on May 22, 2010 for the first time since mid July 2009. By our analysis, markets are now undergoing a sentiment shift, in turn morphing the 200 day MA into a resistance; twice tested but not yet broken since crossing below on May 22.

This week will likely begin with some relief for the Euro, on G20 plans to cut costs in Euro states, while the hangover from Friday’s U.S. Jobs data could continue into a “no news” Monday trading session. Look for pops to add to shorts early in the week, but keep stops tight leading into Jobless claims and Friday’s data.

There are several positions we had been waiting for and on Friday the limits were hit and trades were placed. We are exceedingly confident about these three trades, and we feel that it’s worth our readers’ time to take a peak at where we’re putting our cash. This “trade flash” will target those three trades.

Elliot Wave International chief market analyst Steve Hochberg applies Elliot Wave market timing theory to the current market dynamics. Indicators of sentiment including the S&P 500 put/call ratio, insider trading, and a crashing CBOE Volatility Index are cited as evidence for an eminent sell-off in riskier assets globally.

Click below to see Steve make his case on CNBC’s Squawk Box…

U.S. stocks looked unusually strong on Friday as two major factors concerning short term risk in global markets changed dramatically. The stagnant housing market and uncertainty over a viable path to solvency in Greece, which have been weighing heavily on global markets, seem to be less threatening if Friday’s data were judge. Technicals remain extremely overbought in commodities and equities as markets now face Bernanke and Q1 GDP this week.

Nadar Naeimi, a strategist for AMR Capital Investors Limited of Australia, chimes in as he adds his two cents to the discussion on when this rally in equities will end. AMR Capital, with the help of Naeimi, manages assets for some of Australia’s largest pension funds, with total assets under management close to $90 billion.

Click below to see this crucial report!

U.S. equities have vigorously rallied for the past six weeks to gain +20%, bringing the S&P 500 just above 1200, as Q1 2010 earnings hit the tape. In short, the charts are begging for a pullback, but earnings and economic indicators are giving no reason to sell. Most analysts agree that the good news is mostly baked in stocks, but sellers have left the building and buyers keep coming out of the woodwork.

Here we’ll focus on a few indicators related to the S&P 500, and tell investors why they should be taking profits at these levels.

The VIX is the CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) metric of volatility regarding S&P 500 futures (SPX).Currently, the VIX is trading near it’s lowest levels since 2008, allowing bear traders and bull hedgers an attractive entry point for some risk or insurance in their portfolios.

Bernanke and the crew will get started bright and early behind the collasal locked mohagany doors of the FOMC board room Tuesday morning, while traders will ernestly focus on the information at hand. A slew of earnings from Ashland (ASH) (0.71 EPS est.), Corning (GLW) (0.42 EPS est.), Delta Airlines (DAL) (-0.24 EPS est), DuPont (DD)
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