Mar 16th, 2010 |
By Rob
As the ill-effects of a global financial crisis became evident to world leaders in late fall 2008, export driven economies with surplussed coffers of U.S. dollars did the obvious. They used the cash to stimulate their economies. In one specific nation, the Premier’s words fell like heavy boots on an ant hill, as decrees began to waterfall down from superiors to
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Posted in Asia, Global Slice, Macro Analysis, Market Synopsis |
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Tags: cdo, cds, china, China asset bubble, China bubble, China decline, china demise, china fail, china failure, China GDP, China home prices 2009, china house price 2009, china overheating, china per capita gdp, China real estate, China real estate 2009, china stock market, china's debt, Chinese stocks, debt crisis, failing china, global economy, government debt, mbs, mortgage default, off balance sheet, profit
Jan 15th, 2010 |
By Rob
Crude Oil The oil issue has been speculative to this point. It's hard to argue against 90 dollar oil when we saw 145 in July 2008, but the fundamentals aren't congruent with the price growth we've seen and this trader finds it easier to argue FOR $60/ barrel oil. Crude supply in the U.S. remains
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Posted in Banking, Commodities, Energy, Industry Analysis, Market Synopsis, Soap Box, Trade Strategy, U.S. |
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Tags: BAC, cdo, consumer, crude oil, crude supply, DTO, fibonacci retracement, financials, GS, jpm, mbs, oil, Oil Price, SCC, SDS, SPX, SPY, USO
Nov 10th, 2009 |
By Rob
Inevitably even the grizzlies have been watching economic indicators gaging the housing market “recovery”, as talk of a 2009 rebound in the United States has now been confirmed by 3.5% growth in the third quarter. Existing home sales bottoming, construction spending pulsing and extreme incentives for new buyers have sweetened the potential for a repeat of the 2004 housing recovery we all loved so well. Yet there remains the issue of magnitude, regarding a potential housing recovery, which may contrast that of 2004 a great deal, and could kill the lasting effects of a bottomed housing market on the broader economy. We will attempt to review and assess the American economy by result of the Housing Market from a historical and quantitative standpoint.
Posted in Industry Analysis, Macro Analysis, Market Synopsis |
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Tags: America, Case Schiller, cds, durable goods, earnings, existing home sales, Fannie, finance, Freddie, GDP, Government Expenditures, GSE, home sales, Housing, HPI, HUD, mbs, Moody, new home sales, New York Times, Originator, p/e, price, Private Inventories, profit, quantitative easing, S&P, sales, stock, U.S.