Posts Tagged ‘
economy ’
May 6th, 2009 |
By Rob
U.S. equity markets ended only slightly lower on Tuesday as early morning economic data started off the day with a spurt of confidence. The ISM Non-Manufacturing report gauged Chicago area service related industries deteriorating at a lower rate than previous months in April. The report clocked in at 43.7, above the markets estimate of 42.2
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Posted in Uncategorized |
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Tags: announcement, bank, best, bottom, C, Case, Consumer Confidence, credit, crude oil, delinquency, DJI, DJIA, Dow, downturn, earnings, Economic, economy, excellent, Fed, Financial, Gain, Geithner, goldman, GSP, Home Depot, HPI, income, index, jobs, LEN, Lennar, LIBOR, MBA, mortgage, Obama, outlay, payroll, profit, rally, recovery, Redbook, refinance, S&P, sales, Schiller, store, TARP, TOL, Toll, Treasury, unemployment, XHB, xlf
May 5th, 2009 |
By Rob
Taking note of the information at hand Monday yields little new information for the economy on a day that had been scheduled as the release of TARP stress test results by regulators. Instead the S&P 500 and equity markets are trading higher on lower than average volume due to an unexpected jolt in pending home
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Posted in Market Synopsis |
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Tags: announcement, bank, best, bottom, C, Case, Consumer Confidence, credit, crude oil, delinquency, DJI, DJIA, Dow, downturn, earnings, Economic, economy, excellent, Fed, Financial, Gain, Geithner, goldman, GSP, Home Depot, HPI, income, index, jobs, LEN, Lennar, MBA, mortgage, Obama, outlay, payroll, PCE, profit, rally, recovery, Redbook, refinance, S&P, sales, Schiller, store, TARP, TOL, Toll, Treasury, unemployment, XHB, xlf
May 2nd, 2009 |
By Rob
Economic indicators released Friday morning cited less rapid deterioration in the manufacturing sector, more optimistic consumer sentiment, and lower factory orders. The first released Reuter's/University of Michigan Sentiment report inspired U.S. equity futures higher before diving into the red after the manufacturing numbers and news from the government was released. The lack of confidence in
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Posted in Market Synopsis |
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Tags: announcement, bank, best, bottom, C, Case, Consumer Confidence, credit, crude oil, delinquency, DJI, DJIA, Dow, downturn, earnings, Economic, economy, excellent, Fed, Financial, Gain, Geithner, goldman, GSP, Home Depot, HPI, income, index, jobs, LEN, Lennar, MBA, mortgage, Obama, outlay, payroll, PCE, profit, rally, recovery, Redbook, refinance, S&P, sales, Schiller, store, TARP, TOL, Toll, Treasury, unemployment, XHB, xlf
May 1st, 2009 |
By Rob
Thursday may have marked the end to a furious rally by speculative investors and traders as U.S. equity valuations have moved higher contrary to deteriorating economic conditions. Continuing jobless benefits have risen to new record levels as 630,000 more Americans filed new jobless claims in the previous week. Income and outlays decreased more than expected
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Posted in Market Synopsis |
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Tags: announcement, bank, best, bottom, C, Case, Consumer Confidence, credit, crude oil, delinquency, DJI, DJIA, Dow, downturn, earnings, Economic, economy, excellent, Fed, Financial, Gain, Geithner, goldman, GSP, Home Depot, HPI, income, index, jobs, LEN, Lennar, MBA, mortgage, Obama, outlay, payroll, PCE, profit, rally, recovery, Redbook, refinance, S&P, sales, Schiller, store, TARP, TOL, Toll, Treasury, unemployment, XHB, xlf
Apr 30th, 2009 |
By Rob
While the Swine Flu "epidemic" has stimulated substantial buzz among global equity markets, the lasting effects of the virus on the consumer are limited. The virus is serious and deserves appropriate responses by the WHO and individual nations but has only killed individuals in nations where timely detection and health care response is limited. Cases
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Posted in Market Synopsis |
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Tags: announcement, bank, best, bottom, C, Case, Consumer Confidence, credit, crude oil, delinquency, DJI, DJIA, Dow, downturn, earnings, Economic, economy, excellent, Fed, Financial, Gain, Geithner, goldman, GSP, Home Depot, HPI, income, index, jobs, LEN, Lennar, MBA, mortgage, Obama, outlay, payroll, PCE, profit, rally, recovery, Redbook, refinance, S&P, sales, Schiller, store, TARP, TOL, Toll, Treasury, unemployment, XHB, xlf
Apr 29th, 2009 |
By Rob
The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX, has secured a spot in the limelight as technical traders and six o'clock news broadcasters have religiously cited the measure throughout the unfolding economic crisis. The index is sometimes referred to as the "fear gauge" as it rises during times of increased market
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Posted in Trade Strategy |
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Tags: announcement, bank, best, bottom, C, Case, Consumer Confidence, credit, crude oil, delinquency, DJI, DJIA, Dow, downturn, earnings, Economic, economy, excellent, Fed, Financial, Gain, Geithner, goldman, GSP, Home Depot, HPI, index, jobs, LEN, Lennar, MBA, Obama, payroll, profit, rally, recovery, Redbook, S&P, sales, Schiller, store, TOL, Toll, Treasury, unemployment, VIX, XHB, xlf
Apr 28th, 2009 |
By Rob
Speculators placed bets against disease fearful consumers during pre-market trading but confidence re-emerged as markets opened and earnings from Humana (HUM), Whirlpool (WHR) and Corning (GLW) beat estimates. Predictions from most corporations and analysts leading into 2009 Q1 were unrealistically low, causing many firms to beat estimates this earnings season. Each time a major corporation reports another “earnings beat” the confidence of bulls increases parallel to the complacency of bears.
The proof may be in the pudding but the pudding isn’t earnings season… The equity market will show its true colors as it faces hard economic data without “better than expected earnings” contributing to the euphoric aura surrounding current market projections.
Posted in Soap Box |
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Tags: bank, best, bottom, Case, Consumer Confidence, crude oil, delinquency, DJI, DJIA, Dow, downturn, Economic, economy, excellent, Fed, Financial, Gain, Geithner, goldman, GSPC, HPI, index, jobs, MBA, Obama, payroll, profit, rally, recovery, Redbook, S&P, sales, Schiller, store, Treasury, unemployment, XHB, xlf
Apr 25th, 2009 |
By Rob
The specifications of the stress test were released Friday afternoon, but failed to specify what tangible equity requirements banks must keep on their balance sheets. The regulators have specified that they are adding more stringent parameters to the test that will take into account a 22% decrease in home prices throughout 2009 and an additional
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Posted in Market Synopsis |
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Tags: announcement, bank, best, bottom, C, Case, Consumer Confidence, credit, crude oil, delinquency, DJI, DJIA, Dow, downturn, earnings, Economic, economy, excellent, Fed, Financial, Gain, Geithner, goldman, GSP, Home Depot, HPI, index, jobs, LEN, Lennar, MBA, Obama, payroll, profit, rally, recovery, Redbook, S&P, sales, Schiller, store, TOL, Toll, Treasury, unemployment, XHB, xlf
Apr 24th, 2009 |
By Rob
The Jobless Claims and Existing Home Sales data released Thursday morning affirmed bearish calls for the U.S. economy to worsen. New jobless claims jumped to 640,000 for the week ending 4/18 while continuing claims rose again, this time by 93,000, setting the tally at 6,137,000 unemployed. Existing home sales fell to a rate 4,570,000 homes
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Posted in Market Synopsis |
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Tags: Dow, economy, existing sales, home, jobless, market, S&P, stocks
Apr 22nd, 2009 |
By Rob
Dow components Caterpillar (CAT) and DuPont (DD) are draining the will of investors to remain vested shareholders, as CAT posted its first loss since 1992 and Dupont lowered its 2009 guidance. U.S. stocks weren't the only misfortuned securities Tuesday morning, as crude oil future prices for May and June delivery felt immense downward pressure below
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Posted in Trade Strategy |
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Tags: CAT, contango, Crude, DD, earnings, economy, EIA, finance, Financial, future, market, Nymex, oil, short, spot, USO, WTI