Constructed by years of fiscal white lies and monetary insanity, the body bags have yet to be filled. Municipal governments in China still depend on increasing real estate values, while European banks holding large debts of failing Southeastern states still stand. The United States Economy has “recovered faster than anyone could have imagined” and the S&P 500 at one time had nearly doubled from it’s lows. But still the whispers; 10 year U.S. Treasuries nearing 3% yields, LIBOR trending higher, market technicals showing a shift towards negative confidence, and this weeks economic data hanging in the balance…

The “sell-off” is now two weeks young as red flags are hoisted daily above a mob of jaw dropped spectators, formerly known as the efficient market. There is no absence of questions on the minds of international market forecasters. Instead, we’re hearing vague rhetoric from analysts and financiers that sounds more like confusion than any sort of prediction. The confident ones are still playing the “buy because markets are down” card, but we are taking an alternative, perhaps disagreeable, path.

Last week was a ROUT. There’s no other way to put it. While we suspect this week will start off with some trading traction, it may not end looking much better. What is certain, is that geopolitical uncertainties in Europe look to be trumping economic data in a slow week for U.S. macro indicators. This week’s Weekly Spectrum is then more focused on the geopolitical risks surrounding the EU TARP style debt purchase program nearly $1 Trillion large, power transitions in the UK and Germany, and a few economic reports due out later in the week in the U.S.

U.S. stocks looked unusually strong on Friday as two major factors concerning short term risk in global markets changed dramatically. The stagnant housing market and uncertainty over a viable path to solvency in Greece, which have been weighing heavily on global markets, seem to be less threatening if Friday’s data were judge. Technicals remain extremely overbought in commodities and equities as markets now face Bernanke and Q1 GDP this week.

The SPX (S&P 500 Large Cap Index) technicals are signalling weakness following the November 17th 52-week-high of 1110. Since that point the index has traded in a tight 20 point range ahead of a full stack of economic reports set for release this morning. Here we will address four key technical signals which could spell
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The Weekly Spectrum The 2009 Thanksgiving holiday week will be brief, but crucial economic data to be released between Monday and Wednesday will leave marks on investors faced with the pivotal punches of where to put their money. With a spotlight on housing, economic data for the November 23 week will be highlighted by Existing Home Sales,
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