In the week ahead the U.S. equity market, broadly represented by the S&P 500 index, will be looking for direction as the level reaches its 200 day moving average (MA), which had served as firm support before dropping below that level on May 22, 2010 for the first time since mid July 2009. By our analysis, markets are now undergoing a sentiment shift, in turn morphing the 200 day MA into a resistance; twice tested but not yet broken since crossing below on May 22.

Nadar Naeimi, a strategist for AMR Capital Investors Limited of Australia, chimes in as he adds his two cents to the discussion on when this rally in equities will end. AMR Capital, with the help of Naeimi, manages assets for some of Australia’s largest pension funds, with total assets under management close to $90 billion.

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The VIX is the CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) metric of volatility regarding S&P 500 futures (SPX).Currently, the VIX is trading near it’s lowest levels since 2008, allowing bear traders and bull hedgers an attractive entry point for some risk or insurance in their portfolios.

The last week has seen 100 day moving averages torn apart, surprises from economic data reports, and one of the most notable sell-offs for stocks in some time. Recently, many home gamers and pros alike, have put financials out of their purview. The erratic and effectively risky nature of these names are less than inviting, but
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The S&P 500 rally from the March 9, 2009 low has caught many off guard and left more wondering if now is the time to buy stocks. The smart money has already made their profits in the past eight months and reports from the FT now cite hedge funds beginning to take profits. In a
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