Trade Strategy
Dec 16th, 2009 |
By Rob
Few expect the U.S. Federal Reserve's FOMC to announce any change to the current monetary policy. The Fed Funds rate target is expected to stay at 0.25%, despite effective rates closer to 0.1%, while language will promise that purchase programs of private debt and Fannie/Freddie mortgage products are soon to wind down. Conditions of the
[continue reading...]
Posted in Trade Strategy |
1 Comment »
Tags: Bernanke, buy signal, BVN, Crude, diamond slice, DTO, ETF, Fed, Fed Funds, Federal Reserve, FOMC, GLD, GLX, Gold, loss, oil, profit, profit taking, resistance, S&P 500, sell signal, SPX, SPY, support, trade signal, Trade Strategy, USO
Dec 12th, 2009 |
By Rob
The 10 Year Treasury Note is the benchmark debt product of the Treasury and as the benchmark it's meant to represent the strength of the U.S. Treasury's balance sheet. If this holds true, the current fiscal strength of the U.S. Treasury is hampered at best. Debt markets are generally much less exciting than equity markets,
[continue reading...]
Posted in Trade Flash, Trade Strategy |
No Comments »
Tags: 10 year treasury, 30 year note, bearish treasury plays, recession, short U.S. debt, short U.S. treasury ETF, shorting treasuries, shorting U.S. debt, Treasury, treasury bear, TYO, U.S. Debt
Dec 10th, 2009 |
By Rob
Last week you could have thrown a dart onto the floor of the CME and almost assuredly poked the eye out of a commodity bull. This week there's no telling who you'd maim. Blood and gore aside, the sideways pattern of the past three weeks is over as far as crude oil is concerned. The
[continue reading...]
Posted in Trade Strategy |
No Comments »
Tags: bounce, bubble, Carry Trade, commodities, contract, Crude, crude oil, crude profits, DTO, equities, futures, futures contract, oil, oil trader, oil trading secrets, short, short crude, short oil, Short USO, SPY, UDN, USD, USO, UUP, WTI, WTI spot January delivery
Dec 7th, 2009 |
By Rob
On October 23, 2009 we endorsed a position in the Peruvian gold mining firm Beunaventura Mines (BVN) in the article titled Profiting From Volatile Crude Oil Prices and Safe Guarding Your Dollars. Since October 23, BVN has moved from $36.97 to the Friday December 4, 2009 closing price of $39.84, capturing a 7.8% gain. Continuous spot
[continue reading...]
Posted in Industry Analysis, Metals, Trade Flash, Trade Strategy |
No Comments »
Tags: Buenaventura, Buenaventura Mining, BVN, BVN profit, commodities, equities, futures, gains, GLD, GLX, Gold, Gold Mine Stocks, Gold Miners, gold per ounce, Gold Stocks, La Zanja, La Zanja mine, Long BVN, long gold, Peru Gold Mines, Peru stock market, Peru stocks, profit, S&P 500, stock market, Tantahuatay, Tantahuatay mine, U.S. dollar
Nov 25th, 2009 |
By Rob
The SPX (S&P 500 Large Cap Index) technicals are signalling weakness following the November 17th 52-week-high of 1110. Since that point the index has traded in a tight 20 point range ahead of a full stack of economic reports set for release this morning. Here we will address four key technical signals which could spell
[continue reading...]
Posted in Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy |
No Comments »
Tags: Consumer Sentiment, Durable Goods Orders, Economic Data, EIA Petroleum Report, equities, hidden profits, insider, Jobless Claims, MBA Mortgage Applications, new home sales, Personal Income and Outlays, profit from, stock market, Technical Signals, trading advantage, trading edge
Nov 13th, 2009 |
By Rob
The Direxion 10-Year Treasury Note 3X Bear ETN (TYO) is a leveraged ETN which is designed to move in tandem with the yield on the 10-Yr Treasury Note, opposite the price, and with three times leverage on a daily basis. Like many leveraged and inverse ETNs this one carries risks, especially when holding the product
[continue reading...]
Posted in Trade Flash, Trade Strategy |
No Comments »
Tags: 3X Bear, Bear, Direxion, Direxion 10-yr, Equity, ETF, gains, grwoth, inverse ETF, leveraged ETF, market, profit, short, stock market, Treasury, TYO, TYO chart, yield
Nov 12th, 2009 |
By Rob
The broad measure of the U.S. Equity market, the S&P 500, has found it's way out of a deep hole, dug by the October Employment Situation report that toted headline unemployment at 10.2%. Perhaps giving way to the resilient tone among investors in U.S. firms, this Monday through Wednesday have announced little new economic data, yet
[continue reading...]
Posted in Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy |
No Comments »
Tags: Bloomberg, BNI, company, corporations, economy, Equity, ETF, IYT, market, October Employment Situation, recession, S&P 500, S&P 500 1100, SCC, SDS, stock market, stocks, Warren Buffett
Nov 6th, 2009 |
By Rob
While we all first learned that bonds and stocks perform "inversely" of each other, because bonds are relatively safe while equity shares are more risky, it should be understood that this is firstly and finally a ridiculous adage to waste a moment recalling. The oversimplified credence should, and soon will be, destroyed once and for all as long term
[continue reading...]
Posted in Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy |
No Comments »
Tags: bonds, Carry Trade, Dollar, ETF, finance, FOMS, Gold, inverse ETF, leveraged ETFs, metals, oil, profit, stock, stock market, The Fed, U.S., unemployment, unsustainable prices
Nov 4th, 2009 |
By Rob
One of most common and least sexy trades throughout the global hemispheres of market movers is the U.S. Treasury Bonds trade. Those brave enough to dive long into equities or commodities on the shoulders of the current are both delusional and progressively dwindling in numbers. This has rebuilt a twinge of respectability among current traders, as a "topping out" formation is building
[continue reading...]
Posted in Global Slice, Macro Analysis, Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy |
No Comments »
Tags: 10 Year Treasury Note, Double Dip Recession, Long Term Debt, Market Headwind, Short Strategy, shorting treasuries, Treasury
Oct 23rd, 2009 |
By Rob
Cracking the code of deserving prices for oil futures has become an interesting game of cat and mouse between the bulls citing a momentous trend of dollar destruction gaining momentum and fundamentalists hammering home the demand side of the argument. True, inflationary environments for currencies allow for the relative value of commodities priced in the domestic
[continue reading...]
Posted in Trade Strategy |
No Comments »
Tags: crack spread, Crude, Crude Oil Volatility, ETF, Oil ETF