Supporting our highest conviction trade yet, we now see fundamentals, sentiment, and technicals aligned for a significant correction in Crude Oil prices. While DS partners already hold a position in DTO, we are moving to formally call a short term WTI Crude Continuous Spot price target at $70. Below we explain in detail our thesis
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Crude Oil The oil issue has been speculative to this point. It's hard to argue against 90 dollar oil when we saw 145 in July 2008, but the fundamentals aren't congruent with the price growth we've seen and this trader finds it easier to argue FOR $60/ barrel oil. Crude supply in the U.S. remains
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Earnings season officially began, as the first member of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average to grab Q4 2009 earnings headlines, Alcoa (AA), reported a net profit of $0.01 EPS on Monday, January 11. The shortfall to the $0.06 EPS market consensus was explained by CEO Klaus Kleinfield by the unexpected weakness in the dollar,
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The January 11-15, 2009 week will be crucial to the movement of equities and commodities over the next month. This addition of the Weekly Spectrum will recap the December Employment report and explain which economic reports will affect U.S. financial markets in the week ahead. The December Non-Farm Payroll report dropped traders' jaws as if they
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The Institute for Supply Chain Management surprised the world on Monday morning, as they announced the results of their manufacturing managers survey. The report is essentially a survey where every manager is asked to respond to his own experience. Each manager states whether they see conditions improving, deteriorating or remaining constant, with respect to thirteen main criteria. The December survey’s
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Monday Three and six month treasury bonds will be auctioned at 11:30 am Monday and will kick off the monthly test of the demand for short term investment security. The dollar is becoming stronger and rumors, spawned from the announcement of Bond King Bill Gross's "Lehman high" cash levels, are beginning to spur renewed debate
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We can all remember the panic that gripped financial markets in the dissimilar fall to winter season of 2008, where hoards of cash were brought to the sidelines and even the "Oracle of Omaha" went on record claiming "cash is king". This time around cash is anything but "king", at least if it's the United
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Market movers will get their fair share of economic data in the November 30, 2009 week, following a shocking deferral by the Dubai World fund of $4 billion last week. The event shocked debt costs around the world in a momentary relapse to the terror which gripped markets and sent LIBOR rates to smothering magnitudes. While
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Denis Gartman, of the well known "Gartman Letter", prepares investors for a shell shocked day on Wall Street as investors and traders catch up to the rest of the world by trading to levels congruent with the major U.S. equity futures that have been trading for the past 24 hours over seas…     Click here
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