Market Synopsis
Jun 11th, 2010 |
By Rob
The Washington D.C. summit in 2008 crowned the Group of Twenty Nations (G20) as the official global economic summit of industrialized countries. Two years in, Korea is proud to have been chosen to Chair the 2010 G20 summit, which was kicked off in Busan last week for a meeting of the group’s finance ministers. Hosting the G20 certainly represents a milestone on Korea’s global economic ascent; however, the communiqué out of Busan begs a dissimilar fate for the unification of the group…
Posted in Asia, DS Feature, Geopolitics, Global Slice, Korea, Uncategorized |
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Tags: Busan G20 Communique, G20 austerity, G20 Busan, G20 Communique, G20 Finance, G20 Finance ministers, G20 Seoul, G20 Stimulus, Korea, Korea economic analysis, Korea economic data, Korea economic outlook, Korea Economic Slice, Korea Economy, Korea G20, Korea G20 Busan, Korea G20 Seoul, Korea Household Loans, Korea Household Loans by Depository institutions, Korea weekly outlook, Korean Economy
Jun 3rd, 2010 |
By Rob
In the fourteen days since a verdict charged the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK/The North) with sinking the Republic of Korea’s (ROK/The South) Cheonan warship, global investors have realigned risks on the Korean Peninsula at the center of their radars. In this edition of the Korea Economic Slice on KBC, we’ll venture into history to gauge the significance of the recent alleged attack on the Cheonan and analyze the potential outcomes and economic repercussions. Then, we’ll move to identify the coming week’s crucial economic reports, technical indicators from the KOSPI, and the effects of global risks in the Korea economy…
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Posted in Asia, DS Feature, Korea, Market Synopsis |
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Tags: Bank of Korea, BOK rate 2%, Cheonan, Cheonan attack, Cheonan disaster, Cheonan torpedo attack, global interest rates, interest rates, Korea central bank, Korea CPI, Korea Economy, korea employment, korea interest rate, Korea monetary policy, Korea PPI, korea unemployment rate, KOSPI, North Korea
May 23rd, 2010 |
By Rob
Looking to the week ahead, many questions regarding the strength of Korea’s economy from the stance of consumers, businesses, and international investors will become much clearer through the aforementioned econ data. However, the KOSPI Korean equity index, the Korean Won, and yields on Korean debt will continue to be heavily influenced by geopolitical factors surrounding the conflict with North Korea and developments in global financial markets, resulting from sovereign default risks in Europe.
Posted in Asia, DS Feature, Korea, Uncategorized |
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Tags: Cheonnan Torpedo Attack, EU Bailout, European Debt crisis, Greece, Greek Bailout, greek insolvency, Korea, Korea April Average Interest Rate graph., Korea Balance of Payments March 2010, Korea BSI May 2010, Korea Business Survey Index, Korea CCSI, Korea Consumer Survey Index, Korea CSI May 2010, Korea Current Account Graph, Korea Current Account March 2010, Korea Household Credit Trends report Q1 2010, Korea Loans and Discounts at Depository Institutions, Korea Manufacturing BSI May 2010, Korea Market Risk, Korea non-manufacturing BSI May 2010, Korea stock market, Korean Economic Data, Korean market, Korean stocks, KOSPI, North Korea, North Korea Attack, Q1 2010 Korea International Investment Position
May 6th, 2010 |
By Rob
Crude Oil has reluctantly played follow the leader with U.S. equities for much of the past 12 months. More recently, fundamentals took a back seat to short term speculation as risk takers drove the price of hot button commodities up with stocks. Crude has been in a holding range between $80 and $87/barrel for all of March and April, but in the past two trading sessions NYMEX WTI crude plunged directly from the top to the bottom of that range.
Posted in Commodities, DS Feature, Europe, Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy, U.S. |
1 Comment »
Tags: 89%, Austerity Measures, Bill Gross Greece, Bond King, BP Gulf Spill, BP Spill, China cooling, China QE, China real estate bubble Greece, crude oil, Crude Oil Inventory, Cushing, DTO, Euro, Euro Bailout, Euro default contagion, Euro default risk, Euro soverign debt, Euro Weakness, European default risk, European sovereign debt, European Soverign debt default risk, Eurozone, Gasoline Demand, german bunds, Greece, Greece Contagion, greece germany debt spread, greece germany spread chart, Greek Austerity, greek bond bund spread, greek bond german bund spread chart, Greek Budget Cuts, greek bund spread, Greek Contagion, Greek Cuts, Greek Debt, greek debt to bunds, Greek default, Greek default contagion, Greek Protests, Greek Riots, Mohamad El-Erian, NYMEX Crude, Oil Tanker, OK, OPEC, OPEC Quota, OPEC Quota Cheating, PIMCO, Powershares DB Double Short Crude Oil ETN, Protesters killed Greece, Refiner Capacity, Refinery Capacity, Total Return Bond Fund, WTI spot
Apr 15th, 2010 |
By Rob
U.S. equities have vigorously rallied for the past six weeks to gain +20%, bringing the S&P 500 just above 1200, as Q1 2010 earnings hit the tape. In short, the charts are begging for a pullback, but earnings and economic indicators are giving no reason to sell. Most analysts agree that the good news is mostly baked in stocks, but sellers have left the building and buyers keep coming out of the woodwork.
Here we’ll focus on a few indicators related to the S&P 500, and tell investors why they should be taking profits at these levels.
Posted in DS Feature, Market Synopsis, U.S. |
1 Comment »
Tags: AA, BAC, bollinger bands, bonds, correction, equities, GE, GOOG, INTC, Jamie Diamon, john bollinger, jpm, overbought, q1 2010, Retail Sales, RSI, S&P 500, Simple Moving Average, SMA, SPX, SPY, technicals, U.S. equities, UPS
Mar 16th, 2010 |
By Rob
As the ill-effects of a global financial crisis became evident to world leaders in late fall 2008, export driven economies with surplussed coffers of U.S. dollars did the obvious. They used the cash to stimulate their economies. In one specific nation, the Premier’s words fell like heavy boots on an ant hill, as decrees began to waterfall down from superiors to
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Posted in Asia, Global Slice, Macro Analysis, Market Synopsis |
3 comments
Tags: cdo, cds, china, China asset bubble, China bubble, China decline, china demise, china fail, china failure, China GDP, China home prices 2009, china house price 2009, china overheating, china per capita gdp, China real estate, China real estate 2009, china stock market, china's debt, Chinese stocks, debt crisis, failing china, global economy, government debt, mbs, mortgage default, off balance sheet, profit
Feb 26th, 2010 |
By Rob
Even after the TARP fund liquidity injections in the U.S. financial sector in 2008, the E.U. has decided to bail out one of it’s member states, Greece, from insolvency. How can this even be considered? Yes, the EU constitution is a whopping 7 years young and therefore demands a minuscule thread of adherence by member states,
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Posted in Europe, Geopolitics, Soap Box |
1 Comment »
Tags: bailout, bankrupt, Bond, bond market, deficit, Dominique-Strauss Kahn, economic woes, ETF, EU, European Union, federal deficit, free trade, Geitner, global economy, Goldman Sachs, Greece, Greek Bailout, GS, Hank Paulson, insolvency, italy, Macro Analysis, Obama, Paulson, portugal, Sarkozy, sovereign debt, spain, stock, stock market, systemic risk, trade, Zapatero
Feb 11th, 2010 |
By Rob
“That will never happen to this country.” – Timothy Geitner in response to suggestions that the U.S. Treasury may one day lose its Aaa credit rating. Perhaps inspired by Niall Ferguson’s dramatic Financial Times piece, “A Greek Crisis Coming To America“, we see today as a prime opportunity to recap our short U.S. Long Term
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Posted in Bonds, Europe, Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy, U.S. |
2 comments
Tags: bill, Bond, bond market, bond trader, bonds, Debt, Direxion, Direxion bear 3x 10 year treasury, easy money, economy, equities, ETN, Geitner, Greece, Greece Default, hidden gains, insolvency, inverse treasury ETF, losing ground, Obama, secret profit, stock market, T-bill, T-bond, Treasury, Treasury Bear ETF, Treasury Yield ETF, Treasury Yield ETN, TYO, U.S. Debt, winning trades
Jan 28th, 2010 |
By Rob
On a positive note for Japan, export growth in December surprised economists by growing at 12.1%, compared to the 7.6% forecast, for the first time since the collapse of Lehman in 2008. Breaking down the numbers, analysts were equally unsurprised to learn which market was responsible for the rapid growth. If I’m hitting my target
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Posted in Asia, Global Slice, Macro Analysis, Market Synopsis |
No Comments »
Tags: 10.7% GDP, 2008 China GDP growth, 2009 China GDP growth, 2009 Q4 China GDP growth, Adam Smith, china, China GDP growth, Chinese expansion, Chinese stimulus, collapse of Lehman, December export, GDP, IMF, Japan, Japan deflation, Japan Export, Japan Export growth, Korea, Q4 China GDP growth, Smith, Stalin, stimulus, U.S. stimulus, World Bank
Jan 26th, 2010 |
By Rob
Bernanke and the crew will get started bright and early behind the collasal locked mohagany doors of the FOMC board room Tuesday morning, while traders will ernestly focus on the information at hand. A slew of earnings from Ashland (ASH) (0.71 EPS est.), Corning (GLW) (0.42 EPS est.), Delta Airlines (DAL) (-0.24 EPS est), DuPont (DD)
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Posted in Market Synopsis |
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Tags: 10 year treasury, 2 year, 4 week, ASH, Ashland, bear market, bill, Case Shiller, commoditiy, Consumer Confidence, Corning, crude oil, DAL, DD, delta, DuPont, fast cash, fast profits, gains, GLW, Home price, Housing, inside edge, insider trading, losses, lower close, market, note, Oil Price, Price Index, profit, profit from commodities, profit from stocks, recession, S&P 500, Sherwin Williams, SHW, SPX, stock, technical pause, trader notes, trader's edge, trader's secrets, Treasury, WTI, WTIC