Industry Analysis
Aug 13th, 2010 |
By Rob
From a Western financial professional’s perspective, South Korea has traditionally been overlooked. The most familiar big three finance hubs in the East were forged in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Tokyo. However, Korea is redefining itself as a major marketplace for a specific breed of financial product, broadly labeled as “derivatives”. Here we’ll give a crash course on derivatives and their place in financial markets, inspect their recent appearance in emerging markets, and theorize as to the effect they will have on Korea’s global financial presence and the economy as a whole.
Posted in Banking, DS Feature, Industry Analysis, Korea |
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Tags: Korea, Korea Derivatives, Korea Futures, Korea Options, KOSDAQ, KOSPI, KOSPI 200, KOSPI 200 Futures, KRX, KSE
Apr 29th, 2010 |
By Rob
Most will probably tell you that ABACUS was a fancy deceptive ploy by Goldmand Sachs (GS) to cheat other banks out of their money and make bets against the U.S. housing market, which would ultimately lead to the recession.
Call us what you will, but we’re going to take a different stance on the issue, first explaining what ABACUS really is and then placing it in the context of financial markets.
Posted in Banking, DS Feature, Industry Analysis |
2 comments
Feb 4th, 2010 |
By Rob
The last week has seen 100 day moving averages torn apart, surprises from economic data reports, and one of the most notable sell-offs for stocks in some time. Recently, many home gamers and pros alike, have put financials out of their purview. The erratic and effectively risky nature of these names are less than inviting, but
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Posted in Banking, Equities, Industry Analysis, Trade Strategy |
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Tags: banks, bear market, bull market, Debt, debt relief, double inverse financial etf, Dow Jones U.S. Financials index, economy, equities, financial services, financials, foreclosure, fundamental analysis, fundamentals, Goldman Sachs, GS, housing market, housng, insider trades, ishares u.s. financials, iyf, iyg, markets, mortgage, mortgage debt relief, mortgage default, mortgage delinquencies, mortgage foreclosure, profit, proshares ultra short financials, short sale strategy, short strategies, shorting financials, SKF, stock charts, stock market, stock strategy, stock trades, stocks, technical analysis, technicals, trading, U.S. economy, u.s. financial bear etf, xlf
Jan 20th, 2010 |
By Rob
Supporting our highest conviction trade yet, we now see fundamentals, sentiment, and technicals aligned for a significant correction in Crude Oil prices. While DS partners already hold a position in DTO, we are moving to formally call a short term WTI Crude Continuous Spot price target at $70. Below we explain in detail our thesis
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Posted in Commodities, Energy, Industry Analysis, Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy, U.S. |
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Tags: $70 oil in 2010, 2010 oil forecast, bearish trend, bearish wedge, brent, commodity, crack spread, crude oil, crude strategy, crude supply, distillates, DTO, gas prices, gasoline, global crude oil demand, global crude oil supply, inventory, MACD bearish cross, market, market price, oil, Oil Price, oil strategy, profit, RSI, short crude, short oil, stochastic cross, Trade Strategy, USO, west texas intermediate, world demand, world supply, WTI
Jan 18th, 2010 |
By Rob
The January 18 – 22 business week will begin one day late, due to Martin Luther King Jr holiday, leaving only Tuesday to Friday for market action to be staged. The most notable economic data releases will be the Housing Market Index (HMI) and Housing Starts numbers; while Treasury International Capital data, the Producer's Price
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Posted in Equities, Housing / Real Estate, Industry Analysis, Weekly Spectrum |
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Tags: AXP, BAC, BBT, BNI, C, COF, CSX, DTO, DXD, EBAY, FCX, FITB, GE, GLX, GOOG, GS, Housing Market Index, Housing Starts, HPI, Initial Claims, Jobless Claims, Leading Indicators, LOGI, LUV, MCD, MMR, MS, Philadelphia Fed Report, PPI, Prudcer's Price Index, SBUX, SCC, SDS, SLF, SPX, SPY, STI, Treasury International Capital, TYO, UNP, USB, USO, WFC, XRX
Jan 15th, 2010 |
By Rob
Crude Oil The oil issue has been speculative to this point. It's hard to argue against 90 dollar oil when we saw 145 in July 2008, but the fundamentals aren't congruent with the price growth we've seen and this trader finds it easier to argue FOR $60/ barrel oil. Crude supply in the U.S. remains
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Posted in Banking, Commodities, Energy, Industry Analysis, Market Synopsis, Soap Box, Trade Strategy, U.S. |
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Tags: BAC, cdo, consumer, crude oil, crude supply, DTO, fibonacci retracement, financials, GS, jpm, mbs, oil, Oil Price, SCC, SDS, SPX, SPY, USO
Jan 12th, 2010 |
By Rob
Earnings season officially began, as the first member of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average to grab Q4 2009 earnings headlines, Alcoa (AA), reported a net profit of $0.01 EPS on Monday, January 11. The shortfall to the $0.06 EPS market consensus was explained by CEO Klaus Kleinfield by the unexpected weakness in the dollar,
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Posted in Commodities, Forex, Industry Analysis, Manufacturing, Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy, U.S. |
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Tags: AA, Acloa, aluminum ore, black gold, bonds, commodities, crude oil, DJIA, DTO, equities, industrial corporations, Klaus Kleinfield, market, oil, petroleum, S&P 500, SCC, SDS, stock market, Treasury, USD, USO, WTI, WTIC
Jan 5th, 2010 |
By Rob
The Institute for Supply Chain Management surprised the world on Monday morning, as they announced the results of their manufacturing managers survey. The report is essentially a survey where every manager is asked to respond to his own experience. Each manager states whether they see conditions improving, deteriorating or remaining constant, with respect to thirteen main criteria. The December survey’s
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Posted in Industry Analysis, Manufacturing, Market Synopsis, U.S. |
2 comments
Tags: 10 year treasury, 2010 forecast, 2010 profits, ARM mortgages, Bill Gross, bond market, bonds, Construction spending, crude oil, Defaults, Economic Recovery, economics, equities, existing homes, GDP economy, Housing, housing permits, Housing Starts, ISM Manufacturing Index, Manufacturing at a Glance, Mortgage Defaluts, multi family housing, new home starts, oil, pending sales, PMI, recession, Robert Shiller, S&P 500, SDS, single family housing, SPX, SPY, stimulus, stock market, stocks, Sub Prime Mortgages, TNX, Treasury, TYO, U.S. economy, U.S. Government Spending, USO, WTI
Dec 7th, 2009 |
By Rob
On October 23, 2009 we endorsed a position in the Peruvian gold mining firm Beunaventura Mines (BVN) in the article titled Profiting From Volatile Crude Oil Prices and Safe Guarding Your Dollars. Since October 23, BVN has moved from $36.97 to the Friday December 4, 2009 closing price of $39.84, capturing a 7.8% gain. Continuous spot
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Posted in Industry Analysis, Metals, Trade Flash, Trade Strategy |
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Tags: Buenaventura, Buenaventura Mining, BVN, BVN profit, commodities, equities, futures, gains, GLD, GLX, Gold, Gold Mine Stocks, Gold Miners, gold per ounce, Gold Stocks, La Zanja, La Zanja mine, Long BVN, long gold, Peru Gold Mines, Peru stock market, Peru stocks, profit, S&P 500, stock market, Tantahuatay, Tantahuatay mine, U.S. dollar
Nov 10th, 2009 |
By Rob
Inevitably even the grizzlies have been watching economic indicators gaging the housing market “recovery”, as talk of a 2009 rebound in the United States has now been confirmed by 3.5% growth in the third quarter. Existing home sales bottoming, construction spending pulsing and extreme incentives for new buyers have sweetened the potential for a repeat of the 2004 housing recovery we all loved so well. Yet there remains the issue of magnitude, regarding a potential housing recovery, which may contrast that of 2004 a great deal, and could kill the lasting effects of a bottomed housing market on the broader economy. We will attempt to review and assess the American economy by result of the Housing Market from a historical and quantitative standpoint.
Posted in Industry Analysis, Macro Analysis, Market Synopsis |
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Tags: America, Case Schiller, cds, durable goods, earnings, existing home sales, Fannie, finance, Freddie, GDP, Government Expenditures, GSE, home sales, Housing, HPI, HUD, mbs, Moody, new home sales, New York Times, Originator, p/e, price, Private Inventories, profit, quantitative easing, S&P, sales, stock, U.S.