Global Slice
Nov 24th, 2009 |
By Rob
While the phenomenon hasn't received much attention, the Nikkei 225 headline Japanese stock index has diverted course from all other major economic player stock exchanges. The Nikkei turned negative on August 14, 2009 and hasn't been able to resume the congruent pattern that all other major stock market indexes seem to be following. One can
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Posted in Global Slice |
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Tags: analysis, BOJ, bonds, bottom up, currencies, deficit, Dollar, economic analysis, election, equities, Euro, Federal Reserve, Gold, government debt, hidden returns, Japan, japan election, Macro Analysis, Nikkei, pound, profit from fall, S&P 500, stock market, stocks, top down, yen
Nov 19th, 2009 |
By Rob
The world has followed Obama's recent visit to Asia, especially his visit to China, with hopes that Asian currencies would be allowed to appreciate over the short term. China's Renminbi has been re-pegged to the U.S. dollar since mid 2009 and should be allowed to appreciate vs. the dollar, as every major currency has over
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Posted in DS Video, Global Slice |
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Tags: America, Carry Trade, china, Chinese Financial Policy, Chinese Yen, Chinese Yuan peg. depegged, Currency, CYN, CYN pegged to USD, Dollar, equities, Exchange Rate, finance, futures, macro economics, Obama, options, Peg, Profits, Renminmbi, repegged, trades, U.S., U.S. Treasury Policy, USD, yen
Nov 17th, 2009 |
By Rob
Amidst all the hypotheses and strategies of guys like myself "probing for profits", the most recent security to have stolen the limelight must be currencies. It's no secret that the U.S. Dollar has been falling against nearly every major currency throughout the world over the past six months, however it's soon to become a bigger issue,
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Posted in Macro Analysis |
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Tags: Bernanke, china, commodity, delinquency, emerging, Equity, Fed Funds, fed mandate, foreclosure, interest rate, market, mortgage, QE, QT, quantitative easing, quantitative tightening, recession, stock, U.S. dollar, USD
Nov 10th, 2009 |
By Rob
Inevitably even the grizzlies have been watching economic indicators gaging the housing market “recovery”, as talk of a 2009 rebound in the United States has now been confirmed by 3.5% growth in the third quarter. Existing home sales bottoming, construction spending pulsing and extreme incentives for new buyers have sweetened the potential for a repeat of the 2004 housing recovery we all loved so well. Yet there remains the issue of magnitude, regarding a potential housing recovery, which may contrast that of 2004 a great deal, and could kill the lasting effects of a bottomed housing market on the broader economy. We will attempt to review and assess the American economy by result of the Housing Market from a historical and quantitative standpoint.
Posted in Industry Analysis, Macro Analysis, Market Synopsis |
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Tags: America, Case Schiller, cds, durable goods, earnings, existing home sales, Fannie, finance, Freddie, GDP, Government Expenditures, GSE, home sales, Housing, HPI, HUD, mbs, Moody, new home sales, New York Times, Originator, p/e, price, Private Inventories, profit, quantitative easing, S&P, sales, stock, U.S.
Nov 4th, 2009 |
By Rob
One of most common and least sexy trades throughout the global hemispheres of market movers is the U.S. Treasury Bonds trade. Those brave enough to dive long into equities or commodities on the shoulders of the current are both delusional and progressively dwindling in numbers. This has rebuilt a twinge of respectability among current traders, as a "topping out" formation is building
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Posted in Global Slice, Macro Analysis, Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy |
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Tags: 10 Year Treasury Note, Double Dip Recession, Long Term Debt, Market Headwind, Short Strategy, shorting treasuries, Treasury
Oct 30th, 2009 |
By Rob
News out of London via the Financial Times has amplified the recent calls for institutional break-ups of incredible size and scope. Not just one but all financial institutions, once protected under the "too big to fail" sheltering efforts by governments and central banks, must now find viable core business plans to move forward. The mortgage
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Posted in Macro Analysis, Market Synopsis, Soap Box |
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