DS Feature
May 14th, 2010 |
By Rob
In plain English and within the scope of Econ 101, the infamous Nouriel Roubini weighs in on the recently announced $1 Trillion EU debt purchase backstop; discounting its potential for success and identifying roadblocks that may lead to failure.
Specifically, Roubini states that despite the “money on the table”, the following three headwinds oppose a return of normalcy in the European Union’s debt markets.
Posted in DS Feature, DS Video |
1 Comment »
Tags: bloomberg video, default, EU, EU cuts, EU recession roubini, Eurozone, GDP, Greece, ireland, italy, nouriel roubini, Nouriel Roubini Bloomberg video, Nouriel Roubini EU, Nouriel Roubini EU bailout video, Nouriel Roubini Greece, Nouriel Roubini Greece Video, NYU professor, papandreou, Papandreou austerity, Papandreou pension cuts, PIIGS Roubini video, portugal, roubini, roubini $1 trillion EU, Roubini Aegean crisis, Roubini calls Greece recession, Roubini EU bailout video, sovereign default, spain, tax hike EU, video
May 10th, 2010 |
By Rob
Last week was a ROUT. There’s no other way to put it. While we suspect this week will start off with some trading traction, it may not end looking much better. What is certain, is that geopolitical uncertainties in Europe look to be trumping economic data in a slow week for U.S. macro indicators. This week’s Weekly Spectrum is then more focused on the geopolitical risks surrounding the EU TARP style debt purchase program nearly $1 Trillion large, power transitions in the UK and Germany, and a few economic reports due out later in the week in the U.S.
Posted in DS Feature, Weekly Spectrum |
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Tags: bundesrat election, Business Inventories, CDU, chain store sales, Consumer Confidence, contagion risk, Credit Default Swaps, David Cameron, debt insurance, Econ Data, Economic Data, EU, EU bond crash, EU bond weakness, EU CDS, EU crash, EU debt contagion, EU geopolitics, EU Power Struggle, EU TARP, Eurozone CDS, FDP, German Christian Democratic Party (CDU), German Election, German Free Democratic Party (FDP), German Social Democratic Party (SPD), Germany bundesrat, Germany Christian Democratic Party (CDU), Germany Free Democratic Party (FDP), Germany Green Party), Germany Social Democratic Party (SPD), gordon brown, Gordon Brown James Cameron Nick Clegg, Gordon Brown Steps down, Greek Bond Crash, Greens, Industrial Production, lablib alliance, Merkel, motor vehicles, NASDAQ, Nick Clegg, Nymex, Retail Sales Report, SEC, SPD, TARP 2.0 Europe, U.S. Econ Data, UK election, UK prime minister election, White hall
May 6th, 2010 |
By Rob
Crude Oil has reluctantly played follow the leader with U.S. equities for much of the past 12 months. More recently, fundamentals took a back seat to short term speculation as risk takers drove the price of hot button commodities up with stocks. Crude has been in a holding range between $80 and $87/barrel for all of March and April, but in the past two trading sessions NYMEX WTI crude plunged directly from the top to the bottom of that range.
Posted in Commodities, DS Feature, Europe, Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy, U.S. |
1 Comment »
Tags: 89%, Austerity Measures, Bill Gross Greece, Bond King, BP Gulf Spill, BP Spill, China cooling, China QE, China real estate bubble Greece, crude oil, Crude Oil Inventory, Cushing, DTO, Euro, Euro Bailout, Euro default contagion, Euro default risk, Euro soverign debt, Euro Weakness, European default risk, European sovereign debt, European Soverign debt default risk, Eurozone, Gasoline Demand, german bunds, Greece, Greece Contagion, greece germany debt spread, greece germany spread chart, Greek Austerity, greek bond bund spread, greek bond german bund spread chart, Greek Budget Cuts, greek bund spread, Greek Contagion, Greek Cuts, Greek Debt, greek debt to bunds, Greek default, Greek default contagion, Greek Protests, Greek Riots, Mohamad El-Erian, NYMEX Crude, Oil Tanker, OK, OPEC, OPEC Quota, OPEC Quota Cheating, PIMCO, Powershares DB Double Short Crude Oil ETN, Protesters killed Greece, Refiner Capacity, Refinery Capacity, Total Return Bond Fund, WTI spot
May 6th, 2010 |
By Rob
With the Euro diving, Greek Bonds selling off, CDS spreads widening, and now members of the EU fearing contagion risks are growing, the importance of budget cuts in Greece coming to pass has come to center stage of the European debacle.
What will happen if the citizens of Greece defy these cuts and drag out the process until market speculators have driven the continent and it’s mutual currency to it’s breaking point?
Posted in DS Feature, DS Video |
No Comments »
Tags: Austerity Greece, Austerity Measures, EU, Greece, Greek Bailout, Greek Protests, IMF Bailout, papandreou, Trichet
May 2nd, 2010 |
By Rob
Greece, Greece, Greece… Is that Papa guy ever going to get his act together and accept a check from the EU? is it 45 billion or 100 billion Euros now? What’s the deal with these riots in Athens?
Chances are you have answers to these questions, and a few extra cents to contribute to the issue. Frankly, that’s what the comment box is for, and we won’t waste time on the issue beyond these next few words.
Posted in DS Feature, Weekly Spectrum |
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Tags: Construction spending, construction spending march, employment situation, employment situation April, EU, factory orders, factory orders march, goldman, Goldman Sachs, Greece, Greek Bailout, GS, IMF Bailout, ISM, ISM manufacturing april, ISM non manufacturing april, Jobless Claims, papandreou, Warren Buffet GS warrants
Apr 29th, 2010 |
By Rob
Most will probably tell you that ABACUS was a fancy deceptive ploy by Goldmand Sachs (GS) to cheat other banks out of their money and make bets against the U.S. housing market, which would ultimately lead to the recession.
Call us what you will, but we’re going to take a different stance on the issue, first explaining what ABACUS really is and then placing it in the context of financial markets.
Posted in Banking, DS Feature, Industry Analysis |
2 comments
Apr 27th, 2010 |
By Rob
Elliot Wave International chief market analyst Steve Hochberg applies Elliot Wave market timing theory to the current market dynamics. Indicators of sentiment including the S&P 500 put/call ratio, insider trading, and a crashing CBOE Volatility Index are cited as evidence for an eminent sell-off in riskier assets globally.
Click below to see Steve make his case on CNBC’s Squawk Box…
Posted in DS Feature, DS Video |
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Tags: bear market, bearish, CBOE Volatility Index, double dip, Elliot Wave Theory, market dynamics, market timing, overbought, oversold, pullback, Robert Prechter Jr., S&P 500, S&P 500 Index ETF, SDS, SPX, SPY, SPY low volume, SPY Market Top, SPY put/call, SPY top, Steve Hochberg, stock market trading, technical analysis, technical market timing, technical trading, trading video, video, VIX, VXX, VXZ
Apr 26th, 2010 |
By Rob
U.S. stocks looked unusually strong on Friday as two major factors concerning short term risk in global markets changed dramatically. The stagnant housing market and uncertainty over a viable path to solvency in Greece, which have been weighing heavily on global markets, seem to be less threatening if Friday’s data were judge. Technicals remain extremely overbought in commodities and equities as markets now face Bernanke and Q1 GDP this week.
Posted in DS Feature, Weekly Spectrum |
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Tags: 2010 Q1 GDP, April Econ data, Bernanke, Case Shiller, Case Shiller Home Price Index, Chicago PMI, Consumer Confidence, Consumer Sentiment, diamond slice weekly spectrum, DJIA, Dow Jones Industrial Average, DTO, Economic Data, EIA Petroleum Status Report, employment cost index, EU Greek Bailout, Fed, Federal Reserve, FOMC, GDP, Greece, Housing, housing market, initial jobless claims, Jobless Claims, March Econ Data, markets, months supply of homes, new home sales, Q1 GDP, S&P 500, SDS, SPX, SPY, U.S., U.S. economy, U.S. GDP, U.S. Housing, U.S. Market, USO, VXX, VXZ, Weekly Spectrum, WTI, WTIC
Apr 21st, 2010 |
By Rob
Nadar Naeimi, a strategist for AMR Capital Investors Limited of Australia, chimes in as he adds his two cents to the discussion on when this rally in equities will end. AMR Capital, with the help of Naeimi, manages assets for some of Australia’s largest pension funds, with total assets under management close to $90 billion.
Click below to see this crucial report!
Posted in DS Feature, DS Video |
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Tags: bear market, bonds, bull market, cyclical bottom, DJIA, equities, market correction, market rally, Nader Naeimi, rally, S&P 500, stock
Apr 18th, 2010 |
By Rob
If you ducked out of the office for a three day weekend and missed the news regarding Goldman Sachs and Greece on Friday, you may be rolling up your sleeves to a few surprises that will cast a dark shadow on the April 19 week’s market action.
Mainly, Goldman Sachs (GS) has been charged with fraud by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), linked to a Credit Default Swap (CDS) mechanism known as “Abacus”.
Posted in DS Feature, Weekly Spectrum |
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Tags: cds, Credit Default Swaps, credit market, Durable Goods Orders, EIA Petroleum Status, EU, EU Greece Bailout, existing home sales, Fannie, Fed Purchase program, Freddie, Goldman Sachs, goldman sachs fraud, Greece, Greek 10-year note, Greek Bailout, Greek Debt, GS, IMF, Jobless Claims, john paulson, March Econ Data, MBA Purchase Applications, MBO, mortgage rates, new home sales