All entries by this author
May 24th, 2010 |
By Rob
Many of you may be asking yourself, “what’s changed since last week with the EU bailout?” One would think there would surely be some sort of news or development concerning the exact structure of this plan, rumored to be a sovereign debt backstop of $1 trillion USD. Is there surely some plan moving forward?
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Posted in DS Feature, Uncategorized, Weekly Spectrum |
1 Comment »
Tags: April Econ data, Case Shiller HPI, Chicago PMI, consumer spending, Debt, Defualt, durable goods, ECB, EU, Eurozone bailout, existing home sales, Greece, Jobles Claims, LIBOR, May Econ Data, Merkel, new home sales, Personal Income, Q1 2010 GDP revision, Sarkozy, Sovereign risk, U.S. Econ Data, U.S. Economic data
May 23rd, 2010 |
By Rob
Looking to the week ahead, many questions regarding the strength of Korea’s economy from the stance of consumers, businesses, and international investors will become much clearer through the aforementioned econ data. However, the KOSPI Korean equity index, the Korean Won, and yields on Korean debt will continue to be heavily influenced by geopolitical factors surrounding the conflict with North Korea and developments in global financial markets, resulting from sovereign default risks in Europe.
Posted in Asia, DS Feature, Korea, Uncategorized |
No Comments »
Tags: Cheonnan Torpedo Attack, EU Bailout, European Debt crisis, Greece, Greek Bailout, greek insolvency, Korea, Korea April Average Interest Rate graph., Korea Balance of Payments March 2010, Korea BSI May 2010, Korea Business Survey Index, Korea CCSI, Korea Consumer Survey Index, Korea CSI May 2010, Korea Current Account Graph, Korea Current Account March 2010, Korea Household Credit Trends report Q1 2010, Korea Loans and Discounts at Depository Institutions, Korea Manufacturing BSI May 2010, Korea Market Risk, Korea non-manufacturing BSI May 2010, Korea stock market, Korean Economic Data, Korean market, Korean stocks, KOSPI, North Korea, North Korea Attack, Q1 2010 Korea International Investment Position
May 17th, 2010 |
By Rob
While history may paint our stance with the heavy brush of criticism, we’re going on the record to call increased volatillity and a lower close on the S&P 500 by week’s end. We feel it is our duty to yell from the rooftops just how treacherous the current developments in world markets have become. While we won’t stamp corny metaphors to the ailing sovereign debt markets, wasting your time with visions of ships and storms, we do pray that readers appreciate the urgency of this week’s Weekly Spectrum.
Posted in DS Feature, Weekly Spectrum |
4 comments
Tags: 10 year treasury auction, cds, Consumer Price Index, CPI, CPI April 2010, Distillate, EIA Petroleum Report, Empire State Manufacturing Index April 2010, EU, EU Breakup, Euro, Euro failure, Euro Weakness, European Union, Failing Euro, Gasoline Demand, Greece, Greece Default, home builders, Housing Market economic indicator May 2010, Housing Market Index, Housing Starts, Housing Stimulus end, LIBOR, MBA Purchase Applications, Mortgage Applications May 19, Mortgage Market, New Housing starts April 2010, New York Manufacturing Index May 2010, options expiration, options expiration May 22 2010, philly fed report April 2010, PIMCO Greek Default, PPI, PPI April 2010, Producer's Price Index April 2010, u.s. 10-yr strength, u.s. 10-yr weakness, U.S. Economic data, u.s. treasury, USD/EURO, USD/EURO risk, volatile trading
May 14th, 2010 |
By Rob
In plain English and within the scope of Econ 101, the infamous Nouriel Roubini weighs in on the recently announced $1 Trillion EU debt purchase backstop; discounting its potential for success and identifying roadblocks that may lead to failure.
Specifically, Roubini states that despite the “money on the table”, the following three headwinds oppose a return of normalcy in the European Union’s debt markets.
Posted in DS Feature, DS Video |
1 Comment »
Tags: bloomberg video, default, EU, EU cuts, EU recession roubini, Eurozone, GDP, Greece, ireland, italy, nouriel roubini, Nouriel Roubini Bloomberg video, Nouriel Roubini EU, Nouriel Roubini EU bailout video, Nouriel Roubini Greece, Nouriel Roubini Greece Video, NYU professor, papandreou, Papandreou austerity, Papandreou pension cuts, PIIGS Roubini video, portugal, roubini, roubini $1 trillion EU, Roubini Aegean crisis, Roubini calls Greece recession, Roubini EU bailout video, sovereign default, spain, tax hike EU, video
May 10th, 2010 |
By Rob
Last week was a ROUT. There’s no other way to put it. While we suspect this week will start off with some trading traction, it may not end looking much better. What is certain, is that geopolitical uncertainties in Europe look to be trumping economic data in a slow week for U.S. macro indicators. This week’s Weekly Spectrum is then more focused on the geopolitical risks surrounding the EU TARP style debt purchase program nearly $1 Trillion large, power transitions in the UK and Germany, and a few economic reports due out later in the week in the U.S.
Posted in DS Feature, Weekly Spectrum |
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Tags: bundesrat election, Business Inventories, CDU, chain store sales, Consumer Confidence, contagion risk, Credit Default Swaps, David Cameron, debt insurance, Econ Data, Economic Data, EU, EU bond crash, EU bond weakness, EU CDS, EU crash, EU debt contagion, EU geopolitics, EU Power Struggle, EU TARP, Eurozone CDS, FDP, German Christian Democratic Party (CDU), German Election, German Free Democratic Party (FDP), German Social Democratic Party (SPD), Germany bundesrat, Germany Christian Democratic Party (CDU), Germany Free Democratic Party (FDP), Germany Green Party), Germany Social Democratic Party (SPD), gordon brown, Gordon Brown James Cameron Nick Clegg, Gordon Brown Steps down, Greek Bond Crash, Greens, Industrial Production, lablib alliance, Merkel, motor vehicles, NASDAQ, Nick Clegg, Nymex, Retail Sales Report, SEC, SPD, TARP 2.0 Europe, U.S. Econ Data, UK election, UK prime minister election, White hall
May 6th, 2010 |
By Rob
Crude Oil has reluctantly played follow the leader with U.S. equities for much of the past 12 months. More recently, fundamentals took a back seat to short term speculation as risk takers drove the price of hot button commodities up with stocks. Crude has been in a holding range between $80 and $87/barrel for all of March and April, but in the past two trading sessions NYMEX WTI crude plunged directly from the top to the bottom of that range.
Posted in Commodities, DS Feature, Europe, Market Synopsis, Trade Strategy, U.S. |
1 Comment »
Tags: 89%, Austerity Measures, Bill Gross Greece, Bond King, BP Gulf Spill, BP Spill, China cooling, China QE, China real estate bubble Greece, crude oil, Crude Oil Inventory, Cushing, DTO, Euro, Euro Bailout, Euro default contagion, Euro default risk, Euro soverign debt, Euro Weakness, European default risk, European sovereign debt, European Soverign debt default risk, Eurozone, Gasoline Demand, german bunds, Greece, Greece Contagion, greece germany debt spread, greece germany spread chart, Greek Austerity, greek bond bund spread, greek bond german bund spread chart, Greek Budget Cuts, greek bund spread, Greek Contagion, Greek Cuts, Greek Debt, greek debt to bunds, Greek default, Greek default contagion, Greek Protests, Greek Riots, Mohamad El-Erian, NYMEX Crude, Oil Tanker, OK, OPEC, OPEC Quota, OPEC Quota Cheating, PIMCO, Powershares DB Double Short Crude Oil ETN, Protesters killed Greece, Refiner Capacity, Refinery Capacity, Total Return Bond Fund, WTI spot
May 6th, 2010 |
By Rob
With the Euro diving, Greek Bonds selling off, CDS spreads widening, and now members of the EU fearing contagion risks are growing, the importance of budget cuts in Greece coming to pass has come to center stage of the European debacle.
What will happen if the citizens of Greece defy these cuts and drag out the process until market speculators have driven the continent and it’s mutual currency to it’s breaking point?
Posted in DS Feature, DS Video |
No Comments »
Tags: Austerity Greece, Austerity Measures, EU, Greece, Greek Bailout, Greek Protests, IMF Bailout, papandreou, Trichet
May 2nd, 2010 |
By Rob
Greece, Greece, Greece… Is that Papa guy ever going to get his act together and accept a check from the EU? is it 45 billion or 100 billion Euros now? What’s the deal with these riots in Athens?
Chances are you have answers to these questions, and a few extra cents to contribute to the issue. Frankly, that’s what the comment box is for, and we won’t waste time on the issue beyond these next few words.
Posted in DS Feature, Weekly Spectrum |
No Comments »
Tags: Construction spending, construction spending march, employment situation, employment situation April, EU, factory orders, factory orders march, goldman, Goldman Sachs, Greece, Greek Bailout, GS, IMF Bailout, ISM, ISM manufacturing april, ISM non manufacturing april, Jobless Claims, papandreou, Warren Buffet GS warrants
Apr 29th, 2010 |
By Rob
Most will probably tell you that ABACUS was a fancy deceptive ploy by Goldmand Sachs (GS) to cheat other banks out of their money and make bets against the U.S. housing market, which would ultimately lead to the recession.
Call us what you will, but we’re going to take a different stance on the issue, first explaining what ABACUS really is and then placing it in the context of financial markets.
Posted in Banking, DS Feature, Industry Analysis |
2 comments
Apr 27th, 2010 |
By Rob
Elliot Wave International chief market analyst Steve Hochberg applies Elliot Wave market timing theory to the current market dynamics. Indicators of sentiment including the S&P 500 put/call ratio, insider trading, and a crashing CBOE Volatility Index are cited as evidence for an eminent sell-off in riskier assets globally.
Click below to see Steve make his case on CNBC’s Squawk Box…
Posted in DS Feature, DS Video |
No Comments »
Tags: bear market, bearish, CBOE Volatility Index, double dip, Elliot Wave Theory, market dynamics, market timing, overbought, oversold, pullback, Robert Prechter Jr., S&P 500, S&P 500 Index ETF, SDS, SPX, SPY, SPY low volume, SPY Market Top, SPY put/call, SPY top, Steve Hochberg, stock market trading, technical analysis, technical market timing, technical trading, trading video, video, VIX, VXX, VXZ